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2024-12-14 11:11:44

Citic Jiantou: We are optimistic about the investment opportunities in the pharmaceutical industry in 2025, focusing on the opportunities of new increase and industry integration. Citic Jiantou Securities reported on December 11th that looking forward to 2025, the reform policy in the pharmaceutical field has been normalized, and the most noteworthy incremental policy in the medical insurance field is to establish a diversified payment system. The medical field is about to usher in the reform of "deep water areas" such as salary system and graded diagnosis and treatment, which is in line with expectations on the whole. At the same time, the innovation of China's pharmaceutical industry has gradually stepped onto the international stage, some sub-sectors will be marginally improved, and industry integration will begin. We are optimistic about the investment opportunities in the pharmaceutical industry in 2025. It is suggested to focus on the new increase (innovation, going out to sea, marginal change) and industry integration opportunities.Han Dongxun, leader of South Korea's ruling party: Yin Xiyue has no intention of stepping down early. On December 12, local time, Han Dongxun, leader of South Korea's ruling party, said that President Yin Xiyue confirmed that he had no intention of stepping down early. Han Dongxun said that people involved in the martial law incident, including the president, should be severely punished, and Yin Xiyue should immediately remove the right to operate state affairs, including the commander-in-chief of the army. In addition, Han Dongxun said that he would vote in favor of the impeachment case, and members of the ruling party should vote on the impeachment case according to their conscience.Han Dongxun, leader of South Korea's ruling party: Yin Xiyue has no intention of stepping down early. On December 12, local time, Han Dongxun, leader of South Korea's ruling party, said that President Yin Xiyue confirmed that he had no intention of stepping down early. Han Dongxun said that people involved in the martial law incident, including the president, should be severely punished, and Yin Xiyue should immediately remove the right to operate state affairs, including the commander-in-chief of the army. In addition, Han Dongxun said that he would vote in favor of the impeachment case, and members of the ruling party should vote on the impeachment case according to their conscience.


Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.All localities have actively deployed resources to further support mergers and acquisitions and guide them to gather in a "new" way. Since this year, there have been frequent policies to support mergers and acquisitions of enterprises, such as Eight Measures on Deepening science and technology innovation board's Reform, Serving Technological Innovation and Developing New Productivity, and Opinions on Deepening Market Reform of Mergers and Acquisitions of Listed Companies. At the same time, various localities have successively issued relevant rules or carried out special activities, so that mergers and acquisitions of enterprises have a direction and confidence. According to the reporter, up to now, Shanghai, Jiangxi, Sichuan, Shenzhen, Tianjin and other places have issued relevant documents to support enterprises to carry out mergers and acquisitions; Shanxi, Beijing, Hubei, Hunan, Qingdao and other places "answer questions" for enterprises' mergers and acquisitions through forums or training meetings. According to Tian Lihui, dean of the Institute of Financial Development of Nankai University, there are three major trends in local support policies. First, the logic of industrial synergy is constantly strengthening; Second, continue to improve the efficiency of M&A services and regulatory inclusiveness; The third is to persist in strengthening risk prevention. Generally speaking, with the support of policies, a number of high-quality industrial M&A cases are expected to land. Driven by multiple favorable factors, the M&A market is becoming more and more active. (Securities Daily)The vice chairman of Bosch's supervisory board said that as many as 10,000 jobs in Germany are at risk. Frank Sell, vice chairman of the supervisory board of Bosch, the world's top auto parts supplier, said on Wednesday that a series of layoffs announced by Bosch recently have put about 8,000-10,000 jobs in Germany at risk. Sell, who is also the chairman of the labor committee of Bosch's key business mobile solutions division, said that Bosch's overall plan has created an atmosphere that he called "absolutely intolerable" within the group. Bosch has about 135,000 employees in Germany.


The International Finance Corporation (IFC) and HSBC signed a $1 billion trade flow arrangement for emerging markets.CITIC Securities: Potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to a staged turning point in catering demand. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, domestic consumer demand has been sluggish since 2023, and the price of the catering industry has entered a downward channel. How will China catering enterprises behave at this moment? The experience of Japanese restaurant enterprises may provide some enlightenment. Although the differences between macro and national conditions prevent China from simply repeating the price war of Japanese catering and its impact, the catering competition in high-speed cities in China is similar to that in Japan in structure. The research report believes that the change of restaurant supply and CPI performance can be used as a forward-looking indicator to judge when the current price war will end, while potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to catering demand and form a stage turning point. Two main lines are recommended: 1) Mature catering enterprises pay attention to the same-store sales and valuation improvement brought about by the rebound of CPI, while enterprises with serious decline in same-store sales before have higher performance and valuation resilience. 2) Growing catering enterprises pay more attention to the rhythm of income growth and profit release.The New Zealand dollar just broke through the 0.5800 mark against the US dollar, and the latest report was 0.5801, up 0.29% in the day; The Australian dollar just broke through the 0.6400 mark against the US dollar, and the latest report was 0.6401, up 0.51% in the day.

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